Order Returns as Border Encounters Hit Historic Lows

Trump's border policies slashed illegal crossings to historic lows, proving enforcement works. Can Congress secure this win with bold action?

Military support and wall expansion slash border breaches by 90%. BreakingCentral

Published: July 2, 2025

Written by Claudine Romero

A Border Transformed

The southern border tells a new story. In June 2025, Border Patrol recorded just 6,070 illegal immigrant encounters, a 15 percent drop from the previous record low in March. One day, encounters fell to a mere 137. These numbers, unthinkable a year ago, reflect a seismic shift. The White House credits President Trump's unyielding enforcement, from military deployments to a no-release policy that keeps migrants out of the country's interior. This isn't just a statistic; it's a signal that order is returning.

Compare this to the chaos of recent years. At their peak, daily crossings hit 10,000, overwhelming agents and communities. Migrants poured in, many released with minimal oversight. The contrast is stark. Today, the border feels like a fortress, not a freeway. Yet, this progress hangs in the balance. Without decisive action from Congress, the gains could slip away.

The Power of Deterrence

What changed? The administration doubled down on policies that prioritize control. A national emergency declaration unleashed military support, with 10,000 troops now bolstering Border Patrol. Construction on the border wall resumed, closing gaps that once invited crossings. Expedited removals and a halt to interior releases sent a clear message: illegal entry leads to swift consequences. The numbers prove it works. Encounters are the lowest in decades, and 'gotaways', those who evade capture, plummeted 90 percent from last year.

Public sentiment backs this approach. Polls show 88 percent of Republicans support expanding the wall, and most Americans want stronger enforcement. The administration's focus on deterrence isn't just policy; it's a response to a public fed up with porous borders. But challenges loom. Legal battles and sanctuary city policies threaten to undermine these efforts, demanding a response that's both strategic and relentless.

The Cost of Inaction

Skeptics argue that enforcement alone isn't enough, pointing to economic and humanitarian concerns. They claim deportations could disrupt industries like agriculture, which rely on immigrant labor. Studies estimate a one-time cost of $315 billion for mass removals, with household expenses rising due to labor shortages. These are real issues, but they miss the bigger picture. Illegal immigration strains public resources, from schools to hospitals, costing taxpayers billions annually. Strong borders protect the nation's economic stability.

History shows weak policies invite chaos. Past surges, like those in 2023, overwhelmed border facilities and local communities. When enforcement softened, crossings spiked. Today's low numbers reverse that trend, but only if the pressure stays on. Sanctuary jurisdictions and court challenges could erode progress, letting undetected migrants slip through. The solution isn't retreat; it's resolve.

A Bill to Seal the Deal

Congress now holds the key. The proposed One Big Beautiful Bill offers a blueprint: finish the wall, hire thousands of border agents, expand detention facilities, and fund a million deportations annually. This isn't about symbolism; it's about securing the future. The bill would also strengthen tools like E-Verify, ensuring employers hire legally, and expand cooperation with local police to enforce immigration laws. These steps would lock in the gains of 2025.

Opponents warn of overreach, citing strained detention capacity and legal risks. They're not wrong to raise practical concerns: ICE facilities need rapid expansion, and military deployments face morale issues. But these are problems of execution, not vision. A nation that controls its borders can address these hurdles while keeping the pressure on illegal entry.

Lessons From the Past

The border's story isn't new. Since the Border Patrol's founding in 1924, enforcement has swung between crackdowns and lapses. Operations in the 1990s, like Hold the Line, slashed crossings temporarily, but weak follow-through let numbers rebound. The 2023 surge, with record highs, showed what happens when policies falter. Trump's emergency orders in 2025 flipped the script, proving that sustained effort delivers results. The lesson is clear: consistency matters.

Neutral analysts note that today's lows partly stem from trends started in 2024, plus Mexico's own enforcement. But the administration's aggressive stance, military support, no releases, wall construction, supercharged the decline. Without these, the border would still be a revolving door. The challenge is maintaining that momentum against political and legal headwinds.

Securing the Future

The border's transformation is a triumph, but it's not permanent. Congress must act to cement these gains, passing legislation that equips agents, fortifies defenses, and deters future waves. The One Big Beautiful Bill is a start, but it needs teeth: mandatory E-Verify, stricter asylum rules, and no sanctuary for illegal entrants. These steps honor the public's demand for a secure nation.

Economic and social challenges deserve attention. Industries need legal workers, and communities need stability. Targeted visas and employer accountability can address labor gaps without opening the floodgates. The goal is clarity, a system that rewards legal pathways and punishes illegal ones. That balance is within reach.

The border today is a testament to what's possible when resolve meets action. The numbers don't lie: 6,070 encounters, zero releases, 90 percent fewer gotaways. These aren't just stats; they're proof that sovereignty can be restored. Congress has a choice: build on this victory or risk losing it. The nation is watching.