Looming Tax Hike Threatens Small Business Jobs Unless Trump's Plan Passes

Trump’s tax plan locks in small business deductions, blocking tax hikes and boosting jobs for a thriving Main Street.

Looming Tax Hike Threatens Small Business Jobs Unless Trump's Plan Passes BreakingCentral

Published: May 5, 2025

Written by Thomas Vásquez

Main Street Faces a Tax Nightmare

Small businesses drive America’s economy, yet a massive threat looms. The Section 199A deduction, part of the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act, lets pass-through businesses like local shops and family farms deduct 20% of their income. This relief expires in December 2025, and without President Trump’s plan to make it permanent, most small businesses will face crushing tax increases. This policy protects Main Street’s ability to grow, hire, and thrive.

Picture a small bakery struggling with rising costs. The 20% deduction allows the owner to keep staff or buy new equipment. If it disappears, taxes could force cuts or even closure. The National Federation of Independent Business estimates that letting this deduction lapse would erase $325 billion in GDP support and 2.6 million jobs yearly. These are real stakes for real communities, not just numbers on a page.

The Power of Tax Certainty

Permanence for Section 199A gives small businesses the confidence to plan ahead. The Main Street Tax Certainty Act, supported by bills like H.R.703 and S.213, seeks to secure this deduction. Republican lawmakers and trade groups emphasize that it balances the tax burden, letting small firms compete with big corporations taxed at lower rates. This stability encourages owners to invest in employees and innovation, strengthening local economies.

Some Democratic leaders argue this deduction favors high earners believe it fuels deficits and benefits the wealthy. This claim overlooks reality. The deduction supports over 30 million small businesses, from mechanics to farmers, not just the elite. Economic growth from these firms, with 78% planning expansion in 2025 per DHL Express, offsets costs through new revenue. Critics’ focus on deficits ignores the jobs and vitality small businesses create.

Past tax debates, like the 2010 and 2012 Bush-era extensions, prove that preserving relief stabilizes economies. With small-business confidence dropping to 97.4 on the NFIB Optimism Index, uncertainty over taxes and regulations is already hurting morale. Permanent deductions provide the clarity owners need to keep pushing forward.

Jobs and Communities Hang in the Balance

Small businesses employ nearly half of America’s workers. A tax hike would mean layoffs, stalled growth, and closed storefronts. USDA data show farmers could see tax liabilities rise 9–20% without Section 199A, hitting rural areas hardest. These communities, already struggling, can’t afford to lose their economic anchors. Trump’s plan, backed by the TCJA Permanency Act, puts these workers and towns first.

With Republican control of Congress, reconciliation offers a path to pass this relief. Delays from debates over spending cuts or SALT cap changes risk derailing progress. Lawmakers need to rally behind Trump’s vision to protect Main Street from a preventable tax crisis.

Debunking the Opposition’s Weak Case

Some Democratic policymakers claim the deduction skews toward the rich and complicates taxes. They advocate for middle-class-focused reforms, arguing permanence widens inequality. This view undercuts the deduction’s role in sustaining jobs and community growth. Goldman Sachs notes 46% of small businesses plan to hire in 2025, but only if taxes remain manageable. The deduction fuels broad economic benefits, not just owner profits.

History supports tailored relief for small firms. The 1958 tax revisions and 1986 Tax Reform Act eased burdens to help small businesses compete. Opponents’ push for revenue-neutral plans often raises taxes on growth-drivers, risking the stagnation of pre-TCJA years. Their arguments prioritize ideology over the practical needs of Main Street.

Secure America’s Economic Heart

Trump’s tax plan champions small businesses, the core of America’s prosperity. Locking in Section 199A ensures every diner, contractor, and farm can plan for growth without fear of tax spikes. Congress must use reconciliation to deliver this relief, giving millions of owners the certainty they deserve.

Letting this deduction expire would devastate communities, cut jobs, and weaken our economy. Republicans, with a clear mandate, have the power to act. Supporting Trump’s plan means standing up for Main Street and securing a future where small businesses don’t just survive but flourish.